me!
I also apologize to all my faithful readers out there for being lazy the past several weeks for not actually writing a legit article (Oh wait that's me and like 2 other people) But as Tom Petty says, "Baby even the losers, get lazy some time" or something like that...
onto week 11:
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers (-14)
The Panthers have looked less then stellar recently but they're an NFC South team playing at home against the worst team in the NFL (though I think I'd be inclined to call the Raiders the worst at this point. It's a shame the Lions don't play them) Panthers.
Denver Broncos @ Atlanta Falcons (-6.5)
I know the Falcons are good and great at home but it will always be surprising to see a team with a rookie QB as a 6.5 point favorite. Once again I'll take them because the NFC South dominates at home, and I'll take the over that is set at 51 too.
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts (-8)
Tough call, the Texans are coming off 2 tough losses while the Colts finally look to have turned a corner. The last time these 2 teams played the Texans should have won, and fairly handily at that, but Sage Rosenfels felt like the ball was a hot potato and was fumbling the ball all over the place.
I'll say the Colts roll at home.Oakland Raiders @ Miami Dolphins (-10)
The Dolphins failed to cover last week but the Seahawks are a lot more legit then the Raiders, Dolphins.
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Buccaneers (-4)
Tampa would be one of if not the best bet to contain Adrian Peterson, especially at home, Bucs.
New Orleans Saints (-5.5) @ KC Chiefs
I know the Saints have struggled as of late but the Chiefs suck (despite that they nearly pulled off the upset last week) But I applaud Herm Edwards for having the guts to go for 2 last week, you're a 15 point dog on the road to a vastly superior opponent and you're a 1-7 team. You aren't going anywhere anyways might as well try and light a fire on your young, up and coming team. And Tyler Thigpen has been putting up some numbers the past couple weeks. That said I just have a hard time betting against Drew Brees.
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-3.5)
Logical choice says take the home team, especially since the Titans last week passed all over the Bears secondary. As long as the Packers O-line can block for Aaron Rodgers, the Pack should roll. Packers
Philadelphia Eagles (-9.5) @ Cincinatti Bengals
Easiest game of the week, don't think twice, just bet EAGLES!
Baltimore Ravens @ NY Giants (-7)
I've been waiting for Eli to have an awful game and aside from the Browns game on Monday night, it hasn't really happened. But this is the type of game where the Ravens led by Ray Lewis and Haloti Ngata can stop the running game and force the Giants to become more one dimensionsal. I fully trust Joe Flacco even though he will be going up against the best pass rush in the league, take away the 2 weeks in a row vs. Tenn and Indy where he threw for 5 Int's and he's got an TD/INT ratio of 7 to 2. And the last 4 weeks he has thrown for 6 TD's and 0 INT's. I'll take the upset and continue to be spiteful towards the Giants.
St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers (-6.5)
I love what Mike Singeltary is doing with this team, eventually when he learns from mistakes he'll be able to turn some of these close heartbreaking losses to victories. I still want to know what the hell that last sequence of plays was for the 49ers, passing is what got there team down inside the 5 yard line (particularly the fantastic play of WR Jason Hill) and I can't believe they didn't at least try to pass the ball 1 time. Once QB Shaun Hill took forever to get his team to the line of scrimmage to spike the ball, right after the spike they should have passed the ball. And if not there, the next play, it's just ridiculous to not have passed the ball 1 time in that situation. Oh and about this game, I feel the Rams have as good a chance as the 49ers, so I'll take them.
Arizona Cardinals (-3) @ Seattle Seahawks
A road victory vs. a divisional opponent would be huge for the Cardinals, especially in a short week against the 'Hawks. I'll take the Cardinals
San Diego Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-5)
The Chargers suck on the road, flat out terrible, I can't believe the spread isn't bigger, but of course every other week the Steelers upset the people trying to believe in that team, but the Chargers ineptitude is to much for themselves to overcome. Steelers, Big Ben better get some protection this game.
Tennessee Titans (-3) @ Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jags last chance to try and revive this season, finally coming off a convincing win, but it's not saying much as it was against the Lions. I won't be shocked seeing them win but the smart money is on the Titans, so I'll pick them.
Dallas Cowboys (-1.5) @ Washington Redskins
This is a very interesting game, Dallas is getting 3 valuable starters back at least (Tony Romo, Terrence Newmand and G Kyle Kosier) and it's looking more and more likely that Clinton Portis won't play. So obviously the cards should be in the Cowboys favor. But it hasn't been that easy for them all year, but as long as we are able to stop Santanna Moss and not playing 8 yards off every WR every single freaking play we should be able to win. I'm especially interested in how the offense will come out the 1st several possessions, if they'll see how healthy Romo's pinky is or if they'll try and establish a running game, either way I think with Romo back into the thick of things it's important to hit T.O and Roy Williams early and often. I'll take the Cowboys, somewhat reluctlantly though we should go in and handle our business (hopefully somewhat handily) I'll take the over which is set at 43
Monday Night
Cleveland Browns @ Buffalo Bills (-5)
The 2 cities with the biggest reputation of choking, I almost feel like predicting this will be a tie so nobody will be happy. Both teams seemingly out of the playoff race, because the Browns can't win a game late and because the Bills just dropped 3 straight games in the division, they have an outside shot but in all likelihood will be losing all tiebreakers to there interedivision rivals. Brady Quinn looked good last week but the defense let him down and they blew a lead to a Jay Cutler led team that was using it's fullback as it's primary running back in the 2nd half because they lost all healthy running backs. That's plain pathetic knowing your opponent's going to pass and you still can't do anything about it. I'll take the Bills
3 games I'd bet on:
Philly on the road vs. Cincinatti
Saints on the road vs. the Chiefs
Panthers at home vs. the Lions
Over/under on the week:
Cowboys/Redskins set at 43, take the over.
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